July 1, 2009
By Chris Echegaray
A new Republican group is eyeing Tennessee's growing number of Latino voters, attempting to organize them in time for the 2010 gubernatorial election.
The Tennessee Republican National Hispanic Assembly formed in April, said Raul Lopez, the group's Cuban-American chairman, and its membership stands at 40. But the figure he's looking at is 52,000 — an estimate of potential Latino voters next year.
"Remember, Gov. Bredesen only won by 40,000 votes (in his first election), and Sen. Corker only won by 50,000 votes," he said. "So more and more statewide elections will come down to the only untapped political market: the Hispanic vote."
Leaders of the state's Latino Democratic organization — formed four years ago — say that they welcome the attention paid to voters, but that right-leaning politicos have alienated many on the topic of immigration.
"They have hard work ahead," said Fabian Bedne, an Argentine-American and president of the Middle Tennessee Hispanic Democrats.
He pointed to radio talk-show host Phil Valentine's place as guest speaker at a GOP recruiting event in South Nashville on Saturday.
A handful of Latinos mingled with state and local lawmakers, eating a buffet of Mexican food in the darkly lit Ibiza nightclub, nestled in a strip mall with a Laundromat next door.
"Illegal aliens make Hispanics in general look bad," and possibly bring diseases or terrorist connections, Valentine told the crowd.
No single issue rules
The immigration debate has been controversial, Lopez said, but not as important as other issues because of the diversity among Latinos. The U.S. holds varying immigration policies toward their home countries.
Two groups hold a unique status: Puerto Ricans are born U.S. citizens, while, under the "wet foot, dry foot" policy, Cubans receive legal resident status if they can evade the Coast Guard and touch American soil. The first group trends Democratic, the second, Republican.
Some Latinos are invited to the U.S. either as refugees or under the Temporary Protected Status program because of discord and violence in their home nations.
A limited number of Mexicans, the largest group of Latinos in Tennessee, are granted legal entrance to the U.S. each year.
Their voting patterns differ widely based on geography and economic status.
Efforts to explore how each group votes have been going on for years in traditionally Latino-heavy states such as Florida and California.
Those who are beginning the task in Tennessee should understand there isn't a single issue that will woo Latino votes, experts say.
What ultimately matters is what issues are at play during elections and how individual Latinos relate to those, said Efrén Pérez, a political science professor at Vanderbilt University. "But that doesn't do justice to the complexity of Latinos, or any other voter, for that matter," he said.
But stances on immigration could sway Tennessee Latinos, Pérez said, and the Republican Party would gain from putting out a detailed policy statement instead of only working on image.
"Whatever gains they make could be undone when someone says, 'These are the guys that want to build the fence,' " he said.
Latino voters multiply
An estimated 10 million to 11 million Latinos nationwide voted for president in 2008, making it the largest turnout of Latino voters in history.
Sixty-seven percent of them voted for Barack Obama, according to the Pew Hispanic Center, a nonpartisan research organization.
That's compared with the 7.6 million Latinos who voted in the November 2004 elections, according to census data.
In Tennessee, an estimated 9,000 Latinos voted in 2006, according to the latest data from the Migration Policy Institute.
"I think it will be quite a while before they have a presence and population like they do in other states," said Jeffrey Passel, a senior demographer with the Pew Hispanic Center. "But if they tend to be more present in certain places and are eligible to vote, they can make a difference in localities."
Carmen Hudgins, who is of Mexican descent, attended the GOP event at Ibiza. She explained her choice of party by quoting President Ronald Reagan: "Latinos are Republicans. They just don't know it."
Reagan was referring to the social conservatism and faith that drew her — as with many Latinos — to the Republican Party.
"My father, our family, didn't believe in handouts," Hudgins said. "My parents are from Mexico, and we were raised with values to work hard. When I decided to come to the event, I hoped to see other people like me."
Source:
The Tennessean
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